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This main post will be updated often (esp. during an active storm) so please continue to check back and share below resources with others.

This hurricane season marks the first time NOAA’s fleet of Earth-observing satellites includes 3 operational next-generation satellites. Unique and valuable data from these satellites feed the hurricane forecast models used by forecasters to help users make critical decisions days in advance.

This discussion has storm news and updates in original post as well as in the comments below. This main post will be updated often so please continue to check back and share these resources with others.

We sometimes spin off major hurricanes into new discussions in this Disaster Preparedness group so watch below main post for updates and links.

(Note: The most recent comments are at the bottom and all comments updates are dated. Some older comments may be edited out so members & visitors don't have to wade through too many updates.)

Per NHC and WeatherNation as of 19-Oct-2019 1p CDT:

Last night severe weather and tornadoes, spawned by Tropical Storm Nestor (now a Post-Tropical Cyclone), slammed parts of Florida's gulf coast, toppling semis, homes, ripping off roofs, etc. Tornado warnings are still in effect today as storms move across SE U.S. (from FL up thru NC)

...NESTOR MAKES LANDFALL ON ST. VINCENT ISLAND FLORIDA...

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS STILL AFFECTING THE GULF COAST OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from the Ochlockonee River to Suwanee River, Florida.

  • Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area through this afternoon. The warning will likely be discontinued later this afternoon. Gale-force winds are expected to begin along portions of the Atlantic coast of the southeastern United States later today and tonight.
  • Storm surge levels will continue to subside today and tonight along the Gulf coast of Florida.
  • A few tornadoes are possible through this afternoon over east-central Florida, and this afternoon and tonight over coastal areas of Georgia and the Carolinas.
  • Total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected this weekend across portions of the southeast United States, with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches.

As of 1 p.m. CDT, satellite imagery, NOAA Doppler weather radar data, and surface observations indicate that the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor was located about 5 miles (10 km) west-southwest of Apalachicola, Florida.

Storm is accelerating toward the ENE near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue this afternoon, followed by a motion toward the northeast by tonight and early Sunday.

On the forecast track, Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor will move farther inland over the Florida Panhandle this afternoon, and will then move across portions of the southeastern United States later tonight and Sunday. The cyclone is expected to move offshore of the coast of North Carolina into the western Atlantic by late Sunday.

Doppler radar data and surface observations indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center, mainly to the east of the center over Apalachee Bay and also off the Georgia coast. Offshore buoys and coastal marine observing stations along the coast of west-central Florida, including the mouth of Tampa Bay, have recently been reporting tropical-storm-force wind gusts to 40 mph (65 km/h). Some additional slight weakening is expected now that Nestor has moved inland.

Get the latest updates at www.hurricanes.gov

 

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When a major hurricane occurs we may start a new discussion but for now, stay current on AtlanticGulf and Pacific activity in below comments. Also follow USFRA on Facebook since we share resources and updates there.

Keep in mind hurricane season runs from May/June through November so, if you live along the coast or know someone who does, use and please share these USFRA resources to learn how to prepare for hurricanes and storms:

Again please share these resources with others ~ esp. those along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts.

 

Views: 155

Replies to This Discussion

I believe topic deserves merit but these are things that are much much bigger than us and deserve much more consideration and we'd give.

I've been following hurricanes, cyclones, earthquakes and tropical storms now with NOAAs help and I believe they aren't telling us the whole story. Every year for the past 10 years these anomalies are becoming more and more the norm and are getting worst every year, but no one seems to be paying any real attention to what's going on.

All this information is newsworthy yet none of it is ever on the news not until it's happening then it's oh grab your go bag are you prepared for it. Are you prepared for the planet to ice over are you prepared for the ozone layer to be depleted and cosmic rays incinerate the planet these are the discussions that should be had.

  1. The planets temperature has gone up by 2.3 degrees if I'm not mistaken the sea has risen over 2" in this period as well and there is also now a hole in the ozone layer one that they've spoken of possibly more that they're not saying. We have lost a incredible amount of ice off the northern ice shelves and that's from there time lapse footage. I really think this discussion needs to be more informative on the destruction that we are doing to this planet because we are not going to be able to protect ourselves by any means unless we somehow can slow this process down or reverse it and the public is just turning a blind eye to it and the government isn't even helping when it comes to anything  environmentally related they say they appropriated funds but then when you read where those funds went and what was appropriated the environment got maybe 10% and the rest went elsewhere and that's not going to help our children or theirs.

<snip>

I wanted you to have something visual to back up my comments. Ran out of editing time to put in this info sorry.

Here's the link and a snapshot of the polar cap. https://youtu.be/qHE0n5c6-6g

11-Jul-2019 9p CT - Earlier today disturbance in Gulf Coast became Tropical Storm Barry and NHC reports this aft that hurricane warning issued for portions of the Louisiana Coast ~ more updates in main post above ~ j

13-Jul-2019 7a - NHC says regardless of whether Barry remains a tropical storm or becomes a hurricane (there is only a 1 mph difference between the two), water is the main hazard from this storm. Life-threatening storm surge and inland freshwater flooding is expected. Please take this seriously LA and MS (more in main post above) ~ j

25-Aug-2019 -- The Pacific has been active since May but Atlantic and Gulf haven't seen much yet this summer, but it's now peak season so things may change. Main post has been updated with latest on Tropical Storm Dorian in the Caribbean as she creeps towards U.S. Atlantic / Gulf coasts. Too early to tell if it will impact U.S. mainland but islands and territories should listen to local authorities in coming days. ~ j

28-Aug-2019 5a -- TS Dorian bringing tropical storm and possibly hurricane conditions in Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin Islands today. More above in main post...

30-Aug-2019 2p -- See the new discussion about Hurricane Dorian with many local, state and federal resources at www.usfra.org/group/disasterpreparedness/forum/topics/dorian-update...

11-Sep-2019 9a ET - Watching several disturbances in Atlantic including one that could produce periods of locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across Bahamas through Thursday, and across Florida during the weekend before heading into Gulf -- more in main post ~ j

14-Sep-2019 - Atlantic has TS Humberto spinning over northern Bahamas and 4 other disturbances moving towards Caribbean and Gulf ... Pacific has TS Kiko and 2 other systems NHC is monitoring -- more in main post ~ j

Well isn't that just lovely. People are having a fit here and nothing has happened as of yet. I guess the PTSD is strong, especially this time of the year. We are getting close to the one year anniversary of Michael.

19-Oct-2019 - post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor makes landfall along Florida panhandle ~ more above in main post.

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