NOAA predicts a likely range of 9 to 15 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), including 2 to 4 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5) for 2019.
This hurricane season marks the first time NOAA’s fleet of Earth-observing satellites includes 3 operational next-generation satellites. Unique and valuable data from these satellites feed the hurricane forecast models used by forecasters to help users make critical decisions days in advance.
This discussion has storm news and updates in original post as well as in the comments below. This main post will be updated often so please continue to check back and share these resources with others.
We sometimes spin off major hurricanes into new discussions in this Disaster Preparedness group so watch below main post for updates and links.
(Note: The most recent comments are at the bottom and all comments updates are dated. Some older comments may be edited out so members & visitors don't have to wade through too many updates.)
As of 13-Jul-2019 4p CDT:
...BARRY MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...
...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, HEAVY RAINS, AND WIND CONDITIONS CONTINUING ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST...
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Mouth of the Mississippi River to Sabine Pass, and for Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New Orleans. A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Intracoastal City to Biloxi, including Lake Pontchartrain. A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Biloxi to the Mississippi/Alabama state line.
Tropical Storm Barry is centered of 4 p.m. CDT inland about 20 miles 30 km) west-southwest of Lafayette, La. It's moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continued tonight. On the forecast track, the center will move across southern and southwestern Louisiana this evening, through central Louisiana tonight, and through northern Louisiana on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts, and these winds are near the coast to the southeast of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. A United States Geological Survey station at Cypremort Point, Louisiana, recently reported sustained winds of 62 mph, while the National Ocean Service station at Eugene Island, Louisiana, reported sustained winds of 55 mph and a wind gust of 72 mph. In addition, the Acadiana Regional Airport in New Iberia, Louisiana, recently reported sustained winds of 45 mph and a wind gust of 61 mph. Additional weakening is expected as the center moves farther inland, and Barry is forecast to weaken to a depression on Sunday.
Barry is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 20 inches over south-central Louisiana and southwest Mississippi, with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches. Across the remainder of the Lower Mississippi Valley, total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches. This rainfall is expected to lead to dangerous, life threatening flooding. More at www.hurricanes.gov
Some Key Messages from the National Hurricane Center are...
When a major hurricane occurs we may start a new discussion but for now, stay current on Atlantic, Gulf and Pacific activity in below comments. Also follow USFRA on Facebook since we share resources and updates there.
Keep in mind hurricane season runs from May/June through November so, if you live along the coast or know someone who does, use and please share these USFRA resources to learn how to prepare for hurricanes and storms:
Again please share these resources with others ~ esp. those along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts.
I believe topic deserves merit but these are things that are much much bigger than us and deserve much more consideration and we'd give.
I've been following hurricanes, cyclones, earthquakes and tropical storms now with NOAAs help and I believe they aren't telling us the whole story. Every year for the past 10 years these anomalies are becoming more and more the norm and are getting worst every year, but no one seems to be paying any real attention to what's going on.
All this information is newsworthy yet none of it is ever on the news not until it's happening then it's oh grab your go bag are you prepared for it. Are you prepared for the planet to ice over are you prepared for the ozone layer to be depleted and cosmic rays incinerate the planet these are the discussions that should be had.
I wanted you to have something visual to back up my comments. Ran out of editing time to put in this info sorry.
Here's the link and a snapshot of the polar cap. https://youtu.be/qHE0n5c6-6g
11-Jul-2019 9p CT - Earlier today disturbance in Gulf Coast became Tropical Storm Barry and NHC reports this aft that hurricane warning issued for portions of the Louisiana Coast ~ more updates in main post above ~ j
13-Jul-2019 7a - NHC says regardless of whether Barry remains a tropical storm or becomes a hurricane (there is only a 1 mph difference between the two), water is the main hazard from this storm. Life-threatening storm surge and inland freshwater flooding is expected. Please take this seriously LA and MS (more in main post above) ~ j