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5.11 Tactical Kilts are Back

This discussion provides resources and updates about Hurricane Irma.

(Note: The most recent comments about Irma will be at the bottom and all comments updates are dated. Also find updates on other 2017 hurricanes here.)

As of Mon 11-Sep-2017 8a ET ...

NHC has downgraded Irma to a tropical storm, and it's centered over Florida about 60 miles N of Tampa and about 35 miles ESE of Cedar Key.

Irma is moving toward the NNW near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Tuesday.

On the forecast track, the center of Irma will move near the NW coast of the Florida Peninsula this morning, cross the eastern Florida Panhandle into southern Georgia this aft, and move through SW Georgia and eastern Alabama tonight and Tue.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) mainly W of the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km). 

Keep in mind hurricane season runs through November so, if you live along the coast or know someone who does, use and please share these USFRA resources to learn how to prepare for hurricanes and storms:

Also visit www.hurricanes.gov and check back here or on USFRA Facebook page for updates.

Views: 152

Replies to This Discussion

5-Sep-2017 5p ET - NHC reports Category 5 Irma has maximum sustained winds near 185 mph (295 km/h) with higher gusts and is centered about 130 miles (210 km) east of Antigua, moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h).

A turn toward the W-NW is forecast to begin tonight and continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the extremely dangerous core of Irma will move over portions of the northern Leeward Islands tonight and before hitting northern Virgin Islands, and passing near or just north of Puerto Rico. Irma is forecast to remain a powerful category 4 or 5 hurricane during the next couple of days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 926 mb (27.35 inches).

I did read somewhere that this was going to be a bad year on the storm front, so button down the hatches and hang on.

But for real when they say leave "PLEASE LEAVE" help each other out and ask if your neighbor needs help.

Bob Allard

yes - totally agree Bob!

6-Sep-2017 5a ET - NHC reports Irma is about 35 miles E-SE of St. Martin, moving toward the W-NW near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the extremely dangerous core of Irma will move over portions of the northern Leeward Islands this morning, move near or over portions of the northern Virgin Islands later today, and pass near or just north of Puerto Rico this aft or tonight.

Max sustained winds remain near 185 mph (295 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two, but Irma is forecast to remain a powerful cat 4 or 5 hurricane during the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). St. Martin recently reported a wind gust of 61 mph (98 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 914 mb (26.99 inches).

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, Saba, St. Eustatius, Sint Maarten * Saint Martin, Saint Barthelemy, British Virgin Islands, U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Vieques, and Culebra, Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to the northern border with Haiti, Guadeloupe, the Southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Haiti from the northern border with the Dominican Republic to Le Mole St. Nicholas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Southeastern Bahamas Cuba from Matanzas province eastward to Guantanamo province and the Central Bahamas. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Dominican Republic from south of Cabo Engano westward to the southern border with Haiti.

Users are reminded to not focus on the exact forecast track since the average NHC track errors are about 175 and 225 statute miles at days 4 and 5, respectively. For details on impacts, go to www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Irma

6-Sep-2017 5p ET - NHC reports Irma is moving away from the Virgin Islands and is centered about 55 miles ENE of San Juan, Puerto Rico, moving toward the WNW near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

On the forecast track, the extremely dangerous core of Irma will pass just north of Puerto Rico tonight, pass near or just north of the coast of Hispaniola Thursday, and be near the Turks and Caicos and southeastern Bahamas by Thursday evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 185 mph (295 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or two, but Irma is forecast to remain a powerful category 4 or 5 hurricane during the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).

7-Sep-2017 2p ET - Original post at top edited to show track and updates as of today at 2p. And below are some key messages from NHC about Cat 5 #Irma heading towards Florida and southeastern Atlantic states. Note on the colorful wind chart you can see both hurricanes Irma and Jose...

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8-Sep-2017 8a ET - per NHC Category 4 Hurricane #Irma will move between central Bahamas and N coast of Cuba today and centered about 450 miles (720 km) SE of Miami. Irma is moving toward the WNW near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so with a decrease in forward speed. A turn toward the NW is expected by late Sat. On the
forecast track, the eye of Irma should be near the Florida Keys and the southern Florida Peninsula Sunday morning.

Max sustained winds near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts, and she is forecast to remain a powerful category 4 hurricane as it approaches Florida. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) with latest minimum central pressure of 927 mb (27.37 inches).

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Jupiter Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Bonita Beach and the Florida Keys. A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for North of Jupiter Inlet to Sebastian Inlet and for north of Bonita Beach to Venice. The water is expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

  • Jupiter Inlet to Bonita Beach, including Florida Keys...5 to 10 ft
  • Bonita Beach to Venice...3 to 5 ft
  • Jupiter Inlet to Sebastian Inlet...3 to 6 ft

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Jupiter Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Bonita Beach, including the Florida Keys, Lake Okeechobee, Florida Bay, the Southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands, the Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, and Villa Clara, and the Central Bahamas and Northwestern Bahamas. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for North of Jupiter Inlet to Sebastian Inlet, north of Bonita Beach to Anna Maria Island, and the Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, Las Tunas and Matanzas. For more updates visit www.weather.gov or www.hurricanes.gov

9-Sep-2017 8a ET - per NHC: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect from the Volusia/Brevard County Line southward around the Florida peninsula to Chassahowitzka, including the Florida Keys and Tampa Bay.

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect from north of the Volusia/Brevard County Line to the Flagler/Volusia County line and north of Chassahowitzka to the Suwannee River.

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations.

The water is expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

  • SW Florida from Captiva to Cape Sable...8 to 12 ft
  • Cape Sable to Boca Raton including the Florida Keys...5 to 10 ft
  • Venice to Captiva...5 to 8 ft
  • Suwannee River to Venice including Tampa Bay...3 to 5 ft
  • Boca Raton to Flagler/Volusia County line...2 to 4 ft

This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Listen to local officials for more localized information and visit www.hurricanes.gov for more info. Also see more updates about Category 4 #Irma in original post above.

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9-Sep-2017 11p ET - Some Key Messages from NHC for powerful Hurricane #Irma as of 11p EDT...

10-Sep-2017 5a ET - Per NHC, Category 4 #Irma is 30 miles SSE of Key West. Maximum sustained winds are 130 mph as storm moves NW near 8 mph (13 km/h).

On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should move over Lower Florida Keys in the next few hours. Do not venture outside when the calm eye of the hurricane passes over, as dangerous winds will return very quickly when the eye moves away. The eye will then move near or over the southwestern coast of the Florida Peninsula later today through tonight. Irma should then move inland over the Florida panhandle and southwestern Georgia Monday aft.

Again, max sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. While weakening is forecast, Irma is expected to remain a powerful hurricane as it moves through the Florida Keys and near the west coast of Florida. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220miles (350 km).

11-Sep-2017 8a ET - NHC has downgraded Irma to a tropical storm, and it's centered over Florida about 60 miles N of Tampa and about 35 miles ESE of Cedar Key.

Irma is moving toward the NNW near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Tuesday.

On the forecast track, the center of Irma will move near the NW coast of the Florida Peninsula this morning, cross the eastern Florida Panhandle into southern Georgia this aft, and move through SW Georgia and eastern Alabama tonight and Tue.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) mainly W of the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km). The Mayport Naval Station near Jacksonville, Florida, recently reported sustained winds of 68 mph (109 km/h) and a wind gust of 87 mph (141 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches).

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for the South Santee River southward to Jupiter Inlet * Cape Sable northward to the Ochlockonee River, including Tampa Bay. The water is expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

  • Cape Sable to Captiva...2 to 4 ft
  • Captiva to Anna Maria Island...3 to 5 ft
  • North Miami Beach to Cape Sable, including the Florida Keys...1 to 2 ft
  • Anna Maria Island to Clearwater, including Tampa Bay...2 to 4 ft
  • South Santee River to Fernandina Beach...4 to 6 ft
  • Clearwater Beach to Ochlockonee River...4 to 6 ft
  • Fernandina Beach to Jupiter Inlet...3 to 5 ft

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Sebastian Inlet to Fernandina Beach and from the Anclote River to Indian Pass. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from north of Fernandina Beach to Edisto Beach. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from west of Indian Pass to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line, north of Fernandina Beach to South Santee River, south of the Anclote River to Bonita Beach,and south of Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet, including Lake Okeechobee. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, visit www.weather.gov

Find FEMA resources for those impacted by Hurricane Irma in the U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Georgia and Florida at www.fema.gov/hurricane-irma

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